PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fivert

0x89c549a089db162762369ac5081ee7ada11bce1b

Realised P&L
$-26.75
Volume
$948.68
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$6.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.6500.725$2.23+$0.23
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.4900.425$1.73−$0.27
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.4700.430$0.91−$0.09
Base FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.3800.340$0.89−$0.11
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1500.032$0.42−$1.58
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? · Yes0.4150.000$0.00−$5.00
World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada · Czechia0.2600.000$0.00−$5.00
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland · Finland0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Up0.5080.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August? · Yes0.3820.000$0.00−$5.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in August? · Yes0.2140.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$1.00
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanes · Hurricanes0.7200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 09:58Base FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-13 09:56Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.469999906$1.00
09-13 09:56Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.4899999584$2.00
09-12 08:39Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
09-12 08:38Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-03 07:48Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?BUY0.179999928$2.00
09-02 19:26Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-27 19:42Will Solana reach $120 in August?SELL0.227$6.13
08-27 19:42Will Solana reach $110 in August?SELL0.854$5.71
08-25 20:16Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.66$1.00
08-25 20:15Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-25 20:14Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.14999994$2.00
08-25 06:44Will Solana reach $120 in August?BUY0.1849999632$5.00
08-25 06:44Will Solana reach $110 in August?BUY0.4479999558$3.00
08-25 06:44Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in August?BUY0.2139999529$3.00