PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fdvgr5

0x89bf2f3b44abb27ee5473dd444555f57088da97d

Realised P&L
$22.61
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$0.46

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 02:17Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 15?BUY0.998$2.3k
07-03 14:34Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 4?BUY0.98$14.53
06-23 13:33Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 24?BUY0.99$12.76
06-15 12:11Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 16?BUY0.98$26.46
06-09 12:51Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 10?BUY0.985$13.49
06-07 04:11Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 8?BUY0.985$8.03
05-25 12:13Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 26?BUY0.962$8.63
05-14 01:15Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 14?BUY0.9$12.60
05-08 01:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026?BUY0.998$8.48
04-21 13:08Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 22?BUY0.93$20.32
04-15 13:53Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?BUY0.957$2.8k
04-15 13:53Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?BUY0.958$1.9k