fdvgr5
0x89bf2f3b44abb27ee5473dd444555f57088da97d
- Realised P&L
- $22.61
- Volume
- $14.8k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $0.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 22? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.021 | $0.46 | −$10.77 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on October 16? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.93 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on October 13? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.62 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on July 8? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 5? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.88 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.38at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on July 8?
- +$22.66at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21?
- +$12.87at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on October 16?
- +$12.75at 0.500Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 43.5
- +$12.05at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on October 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 02:17 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.3k |
| 07-03 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $14.53 |
| 06-23 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $12.76 |
| 06-15 12:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 16? | BUY | 0.98 | $26.46 |
| 06-09 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.985 | $13.49 |
| 06-07 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 8? | BUY | 0.985 | $8.03 |
| 05-25 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 26? | BUY | 0.962 | $8.63 |
| 05-14 01:15 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 14? | BUY | 0.9 | $12.60 |
| 05-08 01:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of May 4 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.48 |
| 04-21 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 22? | BUY | 0.93 | $20.32 |
| 04-15 13:53 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.957 | $2.8k |
| 04-15 13:53 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.958 | $1.9k |