Rrrrrb
0x89be4088c06d5773eae0d9fe4fd8cf3cb871f988
- Realised P&L
- $43.09
- Volume
- $19.8k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $293.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.945 | $133.10 | +$33.10 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes | 0.495 | 0.255 | $95.17 | −$89.71 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.105 | $65.63 | −$34.38 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? · Yes | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$632.71at 0.136Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?
- +$273.87at 0.304Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$270.37at 0.270Will Don Lemon be criminally charged?
- +$251.73at 0.306Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
- +$212.27at 0.397Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 16:55 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.77 |
| 08-27 19:04 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999925 | $30.51 |
| 08-27 19:03 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $28.72 |
| 08-18 23:04 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 08-18 22:54 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.49 | $84.88 |
| 06-16 06:17 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.5394526907 | $50.00 |
| 06-14 21:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.005 | $2.33 |
| 06-14 21:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $55.98 |
| 06-14 03:20 | Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.92 | $33.10 |
| 06-14 03:19 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.9399999831 | $20.00 |
| 06-14 03:18 | Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.15 | $5.27 |
| 06-14 03:13 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 03:12 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 03:09 | Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.49 | $29.40 |
| 06-14 03:02 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.32 | $19.20 |