IosifG
0x89bbd12dc6cea189a74c90f66ffa01b50a37c504
- Realised P&L
- $-983.06
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.655 | 0.992 | $757.01 | +$257.01 |
| Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.962 | $316.98 | +$16.98 |
| Will Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.990 | $222.47 | +$22.47 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · No | 0.380 | 0.310 | $163.16 | −$36.84 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.835 | $98.24 | −$1.76 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.436 | 0.047 | $21.57 | −$178.43 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.515 | $10.73 | +$0.73 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.13at 0.803Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?
- +$20.54at 0.920Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$8.18at 0.550Panthers vs. Falcons
- +$8.00at 0.840Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
- +$7.65at 0.861Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:22 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $300.00 |
| 09-21 12:20 | Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.9450382363 | $237.27 |
| 09-21 12:20 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.50229921 | $75.66 |
| 09-21 11:19 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.2549686148 | $80.00 |
| 09-21 11:17 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.26 |
| 09-21 11:17 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.1133438128 | $62.01 |
| 09-21 08:30 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8272077166 | $120.00 |
| 09-21 08:29 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | SELL | 0.0014681481 | $2.52 |
| 09-20 22:02 | Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.7965599094 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 21:35 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.983 | $320.54 |
| 09-20 17:22 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.4599999993 | $69.29 |
| 09-20 17:04 | Panthers vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 16:56 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.5666177672 | $310.00 |
| 09-20 16:56 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.3538029028 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 16:56 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.2898290051 | $200.00 |