PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Tgg

0x89b9875067479db84c268b718f2c40c9ad19367a

Realised P&L
$-197.42
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
316
Open portfolio
$44.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded316
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5970.705$10.63+$1.63
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6600.915$6.93+$1.93
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.6800.700$5.15+$0.15
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6540.598$4.57−$0.43
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5000.705$4.23+$1.23
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access? · Yes0.6300.835$3.98+$0.98
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3840.441$3.45+$0.45
Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting? · Yes0.5400.560$2.07+$0.07
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4400.425$1.93−$0.07
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2900.115$1.19−$1.81
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? · Yes0.1800.115$0.64−$0.36
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.2420.000$0.00−$1.00
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? · No0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 21:29Will "Yacht" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?BUY0.5199999792$2.00
10-21 21:26Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6499999106$4.00
10-21 21:25Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?BUY0.5399999568$2.00
10-21 21:24Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?BUY0.6299999685$3.00
10-21 21:21Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.439999956$2.00
09-12 14:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-12 14:43Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2899999884$3.00
09-12 14:43Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6539999948$5.00
09-12 14:392026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5$3.00
09-12 14:36Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.6799999238$5.00
09-12 14:25Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$0.50
07-19 21:51Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.08$2.15
07-10 12:58Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.354999937$2.00
07-10 12:56Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.6899998965$5.00
07-10 12:53Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.2424998363$1.00