PYau
0x89b81301ac6e2aa307762fa070d2d729c6f0e3a2
- Realised P&L
- $10.19
- Volume
- $166.93
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $21.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.590 | $21.08 | +$1.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.80at 0.609Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?
- +$0.27at 0.981Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10?
- +$0.12at 0.990Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11?
- +$-0.00at 0.999Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 15:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 15:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.998330033 | $15.12 |
| 10-11 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 00:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.9899999446 | $15.00 |
| 10-11 00:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.28 |
| 10-10 02:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.9799999647 | $15.00 |
| 10-09 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.10 |
| 10-09 02:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.596816968 | $15.00 |
| 10-09 02:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 17:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.9989999012 | $10.00 |