0x89b6D8Be22Bcc19E7b0d57DFe18C14cE8eE04496-1766160407328
0x89b6d8be22bcc19e7b0d57dfe18c14ce8ee04496
- Realised P&L
- $-206.09
- Volume
- $18.3k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $16.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)13.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.061 | $16.25 | −$53.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.44at 0.568Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
- +$0.00at 0.994Mauthausen: Hugo Gaston vs Matthias Ujvary
- +$-0.17at 0.470Spread: Eagles (-6.5)
- +$-0.22at 0.472Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-10-12?
- +$-0.45at 0.691Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 23:06 | Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-10-12? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.62 |
| 10-12 23:06 | Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.98 |
| 10-12 21:59 | Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-10-12? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.82 |
| 10-12 21:58 | Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.4599999681 | $2.88 |
| 09-15 15:05 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.2648648641 | $70.00 |
| 09-15 14:34 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.1615922213 | $80.60 |
| 09-03 16:28 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.2004773257 | $100.00 |
| 08-27 19:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.67 | $7.39 |
| 08-27 18:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 18:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799999637 | $1.50 |
| 08-27 18:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 18:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.98 |
| 08-27 18:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 18:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.98 |
| 08-27 18:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |