ilovechengdu
0x89b58f1bb2596792f629376c35e7c4c31aef5aa7
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $483.9k
- Markets traded
- 5,237
- Open portfolio
- $263.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,237
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$452.19at 0.349Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 24?
- +$357.38at 0.089Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?
- +$223.82at 0.025Solana Up or Down - March 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$210.60at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9PM ET
- +$148.84at 0.377Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.276270347 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 08:54 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.22 |
| 09-21 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8017515143 | $4.86 |
| 09-21 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.8564976466 | $40.03 |
| 09-21 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9407617163 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.11479 | $3.44 |
| 09-21 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.39 |
| 09-21 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.9 | $22.50 |
| 09-21 02:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8712353696 | $30.00 |
| 09-21 02:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.94 |
| 09-21 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.3325 | $6.65 |
| 09-21 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.90 |
| 09-20 23:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |