PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ilovechengdu

0x89b58f1bb2596792f629376c35e7c4c31aef5aa7

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$483.9k
Markets traded
5,237
Open portfolio
$263.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,237
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 21? · No0.9801.000$101.99+$1.99
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 21? · No0.8801.000$45.43+$5.43
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 21? · No0.9321.000$26.80+$1.80
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 22? · Yes0.2760.260$9.41$0.59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21? · Yes0.4300.630$8.19+$2.60
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 22? · Yes0.4200.550$7.85+$1.86
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22? · Yes0.5000.635$7.62+$1.62
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21? · Yes0.5400.610$6.78+$0.78
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 22? · Yes0.5000.525$6.30+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 22? · Yes0.6200.625$6.04+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 23? · Yes0.4900.490$6.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 21? · Yes0.4400.420$5.72$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 21? · Yes0.4900.460$5.63$0.37
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21? · Yes0.5600.505$5.41$0.59
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? · Yes0.4400.340$4.63$1.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 09:28Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 22?BUY0.276270347$10.00
09-21 08:54Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 21?SELL0.22$2.22
09-21 08:37Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 21?BUY0.8017515143$4.86
09-21 07:07Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?SELL0.8564976466$40.03
09-21 06:19Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.9407617163$20.00
09-21 06:13Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.9$5.00
09-21 06:13Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 21?SELL0.11479$3.44
09-21 06:13Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.4$5.00
09-21 04:57Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21?SELL0.89$8.39
09-21 04:57Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21?SELL0.9$22.50
09-21 02:18Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21?BUY0.8712353696$30.00
09-21 02:18Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21?SELL0.13$1.94
09-21 01:05Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.3325$6.65
09-21 00:58Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21?SELL0.24$2.90
09-20 23:57Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 21?BUY0.98$100.00