aIYTG77
0x89af0876bec5bbef379f604fb65b810ec1c43096
- Realised P&L
- $-158.53
- Volume
- $76.7k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $38.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.954 | 0.975 | $38.61 | +$0.81 |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors · Cavaliers | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$190.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.64at 0.597Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.13at 0.935Will Solana dip to $150 in August?
- +$1.94at 0.180Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025?
- +$1.66at 0.960Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 20-26?
- +$1.38at 0.964Will XRP reach $1.50 September 14-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9539999995 | $37.80 |
| 09-20 02:18 | Will XRP reach $1.50 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9609999996 | $36.50 |
| 09-19 15:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9899999882 | $36.20 |
| 09-19 03:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.994 | $35.80 |
| 09-18 15:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9959999751 | $35.80 |
| 09-14 03:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.992 | $35.60 |
| 09-14 02:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $35.62 |
| 09-12 00:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9869999999 | $35.20 |
| 09-07 09:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9799999785 | $34.70 |
| 09-06 15:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.9869999999 | $34.30 |
| 09-06 02:40 | Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 5? | BUY | 0.992 | $34.00 |
| 09-06 02:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 31-September 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $34.04 |
| 09-01 16:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.9859999734 | $33.60 |
| 09-01 02:57 | Will XRP reach $1.40 on August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $33.60 |
| 08-31 15:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on August 31? | BUY | 0.986522534 | $33.10 |