0x89ae8d10f5e28f945c4ce2c1438d4f3d06369179
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $464.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 1? · No | 0.928 | 0.978 | $52.66 | +$2.66 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on November 6? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.920 | $47.42 | −$2.58 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 26-November 1? · No | 0.829 | 0.976 | $47.11 | +$7.11 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 26-November 1? · No | 0.900 | 0.975 | $43.31 | +$3.31 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 6? · Yes | 0.976 | 0.986 | $40.40 | +$0.40 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 4? · Yes | 0.953 | 0.960 | $40.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 5? · Yes | 0.953 | 0.955 | $40.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2? · No | 0.920 | 0.915 | $39.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3? · Yes | 0.962 | 0.957 | $39.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 6? · No | 0.730 | 0.700 | $38.36 | −$1.64 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2? · No | 0.770 | 0.685 | $35.57 | −$4.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.17at 0.845Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1?
- +$5.62at 0.868Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1?
- +$4.34at 0.936Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 31?
- +$4.32at 0.893Ethereum Up or Down on November 1?
- +$3.03at 0.951Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.9618148031 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 23:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 2? | SELL | 0.99 | $40.61 |
| 11-01 17:32 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on November 6? | BUY | 0.9699999996 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 17:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 1? | BUY | 0.928143712 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 16:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1? | SELL | 0.989 | $118.27 |
| 11-01 16:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.8747200895 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 16:25 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 1? | SELL | 0.989 | $44.62 |
| 11-01 16:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 1? | BUY | 0.7992863971 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 16:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $46.00 |
| 11-01 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 09:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.9199999972 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 08:57 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 1? | SELL | 0.9880593049 | $83.30 |
| 11-01 07:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 5? | BUY | 0.9528988565 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 06:59 | Ethereum Up or Down on November 1? | BUY | 0.8855721261 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 06:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 1? | SELL | 0.9847239382 | $81.61 |