Tryingtowin
0x89ab221e85627de2fa6a9294083a433bc602eb7b
- Realised P&L
- $-46.94
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $22.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Data Center" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.405 | $13.50 | +$2.50 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.009 | $9.44 | −$0.55 |
| Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.78 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.38at 0.400Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 2 or more times during his North Carolina speech?
- +$-2.00at 0.004Will Trump tweet 40 or more times September 20-27?
- +$-5.00at 0.270Will Donald Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times during his Michigan town hall?
- +$-5.00at 0.450Will Trump tweet 10-14 times September 20-27?
- +$-5.00at 0.050Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his North Carolina speech?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 12:44 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 12:07 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.3299999934 | $11.00 |
| 11-06 05:59 | Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1299998776 | $0.85 |
| 11-06 05:58 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.85 |
| 11-05 22:55 | Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3299999762 | $6.78 |
| 11-05 22:42 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.3829999931 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 03:24 | Will Donald Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times during his Michigan town hall? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 03:23 | Will Trump tweet 40 or more times September 20-27? | BUY | 0.0041468998 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 18:08 | Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 2 or more times during his North Carolina speech? | SELL | 0.99 | $12.38 |
| 09-25 17:59 | Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 2 or more times during his North Carolina speech? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 10:05 | Will Donald Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his North Carolina speech? | BUY | 0.1799999746 | $5.53 |
| 09-25 09:56 | Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his North Carolina speech? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 18:45 | Will Trump tweet 10-14 times September 20-27? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |