PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x89A7f099A75F801780F16A6282368a4930d22ce3-1772283949146

0x89a7f099a75f801780f16a6282368a4930d22ce3

Realised P&L
$-46.05
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$15.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21? · Yes0.9920.974$15.92−$0.30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.9530.000$0.00−$25.29
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$2.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 10:52US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?BUY0.992$16.22
09-20 07:06Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.975$11.76
08-13 10:06Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.9719999702$9.38
08-04 07:42Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.13$43.51
08-03 10:36Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.191$29.89
08-02 08:47Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.55$45.57
07-22 08:56Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?BUY0.0569999815$2.87
07-16 10:36Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?BUY0.9649999948$5.59
07-09 11:03Israel closes its airspace by July 15?BUY0.94$3.97
07-03 08:33Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?BUY0.988$2.64
06-25 10:39Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?BUY0.9779999993$5.55
06-10 13:13US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.9529999999$25.29
06-07 13:10Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07?BUY0.9399999988$30.18
05-28 11:48Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?BUY0.9289999596$13.65
05-20 12:40Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.85$6.97