0x89A7f099A75F801780F16A6282368a4930d22ce3-1772283949146
0x89a7f099a75f801780f16a6282368a4930d22ce3
- Realised P&L
- $-46.05
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $15.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21? · Yes | 0.992 | 0.974 | $15.92 | −$0.30 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.953 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.29 |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.23at 0.670Maple Leafs vs. Senators
- +$2.37at 0.720Raptors vs. Nuggets
- +$1.87at 0.942Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07?
- +$1.52at 0.890Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
- +$1.23at 0.850Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 10:52 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21? | BUY | 0.992 | $16.22 |
| 09-20 07:06 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.975 | $11.76 |
| 08-13 10:06 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.9719999702 | $9.38 |
| 08-04 07:42 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.13 | $43.51 |
| 08-03 10:36 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.191 | $29.89 |
| 08-02 08:47 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.55 | $45.57 |
| 07-22 08:56 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.0569999815 | $2.87 |
| 07-16 10:36 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17? | BUY | 0.9649999948 | $5.59 |
| 07-09 11:03 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.94 | $3.97 |
| 07-03 08:33 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7? | BUY | 0.988 | $2.64 |
| 06-25 10:39 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.9779999993 | $5.55 |
| 06-10 13:13 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9529999999 | $25.29 |
| 06-07 13:10 | Will Jordan win on 2026-06-07? | BUY | 0.9399999988 | $30.18 |
| 05-28 11:48 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | BUY | 0.9289999596 | $13.65 |
| 05-20 12:40 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $6.97 |