0x899feaC8c99Ab590A98C8eeF292864dc13C1Da49-1786644921692
0x899feac8c99ab590a98c8eef292864dc13c1da49
- Realised P&L
- $-372.21
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $362.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.00at 0.200Will 7 Brew Coffee be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?
- +$11.00at 0.450Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?
- +$10.00at 0.500Will "Party" be in the headlines this week?
- +$9.80at 0.510Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$9.60at 0.520Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 07:38 | Will Once Caldas be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A? | BUY | 0.26 | $4.68 |
| 09-07 23:46 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September? | SELL | 0.74 | $14.80 |
| 09-07 06:08 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 09-03 09:09 | Will Jakub Rychtecký be the next Mayor of Pardubice? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 21:53 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.90 |
| 09-01 21:53 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.34 |
| 08-29 06:30 | Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.35 | $4.35 |
| 08-28 21:58 | Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $6.18 |
| 08-16 23:50 | Will "Lost Weekend" - Phoebe Bridgers first week album sales be 90k or more? | SELL | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 08-16 23:47 | Will "Lost Weekend" - Phoebe Bridgers first week album sales be between 75k and 90k? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |