brendonh
0x8995e4ba38a2f88f9816ee41a7933e2033cb77ad
- Realised P&L
- $-6.64
- Volume
- $215.58
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $47.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Toronto Maple Leafs record 90+ points? · No | 0.310 | 0.505 | $21.21 | +$8.19 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.355 | $14.20 | −$5.80 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.360 | 0.355 | $5.32 | −$0.07 |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.325 | $3.25 | −$0.55 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.140 | 0.065 | $2.32 | −$2.68 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.019 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.753 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.54at 0.590Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 22:08 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 10-02 22:06 | Will the Toronto Maple Leafs record 90+ points? | BUY | 0.31 | $13.02 |
| 10-02 21:59 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.40 |
| 09-06 15:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 14:29 | Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 4? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 01:43 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 20:02 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 08-31 19:25 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0209999797 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:39 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7529999902 | $5.00 |