PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

yangshifu

0x8995d34879180f1afe7362b4baa389179785ebed

Realised P&L
$-4.45
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$16.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9980.997$13.68−$0.02
Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.645$1.31−$0.11
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9600.979$1.27+$0.02
Clippers vs. Rockets · Clippers0.2300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$1.30
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$2.73
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? · No0.9610.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 11:06Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.998$13.70
10-18 10:05Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6999998028$1.42
09-10 12:59Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.999$15.20
08-29 08:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.9979999681$15.10
07-23 07:05Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9969999999$15.10
05-31 09:48Will Solana dip to $70 in May?BUY0.9989999915$105.00
05-05 12:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?BUY0.999$105.00
04-26 09:43Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 27?BUY0.999$103.98
04-26 09:38Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 27?BUY0.002$1.11
04-21 02:57Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?BUY0.999$106.99
04-16 02:47Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?BUY0.9971721582$105.97
04-09 08:49Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?BUY0.999$105.99
03-24 07:54Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?BUY0.998$105.00
03-19 08:57Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in March 2026?BUY0.999$105.21
03-11 10:56Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.003$2.73