0x8989a8fa588dfc600dd8860d2f0fca1500d25bd1
0x8989a8fa588dfc600dd8860d2f0fca1500d25bd1
- Realised P&L
- $3.39
- Volume
- $285.50
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $13.57
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 21? · No | 0.950 | 0.993 | $2.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 22? · Yes | 0.951 | 0.992 | $2.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.990 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 22? · Yes | 0.961 | 0.999 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 22? · No | 0.960 | 0.994 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 22? · No | 0.969 | 0.912 | $1.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on October 22? · No | 0.950 | 0.611 | $1.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 8? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? · Yes | 0.971 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.953Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 3?
- +$0.10at 0.953Bitcoin above 83,000 on October 20, 2PM ET?
- +$0.08at 0.962Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?
- +$0.08at 0.962Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 10?
- +$0.08at 0.963Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 08:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21? | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 05:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 04:30 | Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-21 04:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 22:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.9689999889 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 21:00 | Ethereum above 2,460 on October 20, 6PM ET? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 20:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 20:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 22? | BUY | 0.9609999841 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 20:15 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on October 22? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 20:00 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 19:45 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 21? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 19:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.94999962 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 18:15 | Bitcoin above 82,400 on October 20, 3PM ET? | BUY | 0.9589999842 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 17:45 | Bitcoin above 83,000 on October 20, 2PM ET? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 17:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |