0x898268191554169f4bfc8ea2ecb5904ffc279a34
0x898268191554169f4bfc8ea2ecb5904ffc279a34
- Realised P&L
- $32.39
- Volume
- $714.49
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $8.49
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.625 | $4.11 | +$1.74 |
| Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.525 | $3.78 | +$1.55 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.115 | $0.60 | −$1.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.54at 0.210Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
- +$7.97at 0.230Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $142 end of March?
- +$7.09at 0.220Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
- +$6.34at 0.261Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?
- +$4.41at 0.362Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or higher on February 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 13:29 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999736 | $2.23 |
| 10-01 13:01 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999635 | $2.37 |
| 05-15 18:11 | Will Trump say "Blackwell" this week? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 05-13 08:54 | Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 05-05 15:35 | Will the Conservative Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.4599999719 | $2.29 |
| 05-05 08:03 | Will the Conservative Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.2299999247 | $2.23 |
| 05-05 07:55 | Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 04-30 08:31 | Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (April 27 - May 3) | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 04-27 08:27 | Will Trump say "Elizabeth" during King Charles visit? | BUY | 0.4599999719 | $2.29 |
| 04-22 14:49 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on April 22? | BUY | 0.3299999286 | $2.32 |
| 04-21 15:29 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $335 on April 22? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.34 |
| 04-20 08:20 | Will Blackstone (BX) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.40 |
| 04-20 08:09 | Will Infosys (INFY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.54 |
| 04-16 08:20 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999042 | $1.97 |
| 04-15 09:49 | Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3699999042 | $1.97 |