0x8974543851F4a85F7E3649D20E3282A47685AD95-1768201126784
0x8974543851f4a85f7e3649d20e3282a47685ad95
- Realised P&L
- $-174.65
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $8.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.43at 0.070Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 31?
- +$54.32at 0.060Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
- +$25.03at 0.721Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
- +$14.05at 0.199Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 21?
- +$12.37at 0.600Will the US strike Somalia next?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 05:20 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.0107454957 | $1.90 |
| 05-10 20:29 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 20:26 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0525897947 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 20:25 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | BUY | 0.0631237053 | $10.00 |
| 05-10 20:25 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? | BUY | 0.0053260048 | $5.00 |
| 04-26 20:25 | Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.00 |
| 04-26 20:25 | Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 04-26 20:24 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0210000003 | $2.00 |
| 04-26 20:23 | Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.0130000001 | $5.00 |
| 04-19 14:52 | Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.0083599615 | $1.00 |
| 04-19 07:38 | Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.0130000001 | $4.00 |
| 04-15 12:29 | Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June? | BUY | 0.1423528072 | $10.00 |
| 04-15 12:24 | Will Trump visit China by May 8? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 12:15 | Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference? | BUY | 0.1099999938 | $15.00 |
| 04-15 12:09 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.0361204395 | $13.00 |