PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8974543851F4a85F7E3649D20E3282A47685AD95-1768201126784

0x8974543851f4a85f7e3649d20e3282a47685ad95

Realised P&L
$-174.65
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$8.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? · Yes0.0050.004$3.76$1.24
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? · Yes0.0520.016$3.04$6.96
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.0630.012$1.90$8.10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 21? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$5.00
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$2.00
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 20? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$10.00
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.90
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 19? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$8.00
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00$9.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$4.00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00$22.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19? · Up0.0330.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 24? · Up0.1000.000$0.00$6.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-02 05:20Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?BUY0.0107454957$1.90
05-10 20:29Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.05$10.00
05-10 20:26Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?BUY0.0525897947$10.00
05-10 20:25Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?BUY0.0631237053$10.00
05-10 20:25Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?BUY0.0053260048$5.00
04-26 20:25Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?BUY0.007$3.00
04-26 20:25Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
04-26 20:24Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?BUY0.0210000003$2.00
04-26 20:23Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.0130000001$5.00
04-19 14:52Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.0083599615$1.00
04-19 07:38Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.0130000001$4.00
04-15 12:29Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?BUY0.1423528072$10.00
04-15 12:24Will Trump visit China by May 8?BUY0.04$5.00
04-15 12:15Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?BUY0.1099999938$15.00
04-15 12:09Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.0361204395$13.00