averagerandomman
0x8970b56535153baadee991ca25a178ac085636b5
- Realised P&L
- $85.2k
- Volume
- $52.97M
- Markets traded
- 16,447
- Open portfolio
- $6.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16,447
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.2kat 0.220Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 18?
- +$28.6kat 0.099Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on November 24?
- +$26.5kat 0.079Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
- +$20.1kat 0.095Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 2?
- +$19.8kat 0.054Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.41 |
| 11-01 22:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.43 |
| 11-01 22:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.989 | $455.92 |
| 11-01 21:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.9779999998 | $114.08 |
| 11-01 21:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.04 |
| 11-01 21:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.0073429061 | $0.86 |
| 11-01 21:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 11-01 21:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 11-01 21:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.21 |
| 11-01 21:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.992 | $401.76 |
| 11-01 21:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.21 |
| 11-01 21:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.21 |
| 11-01 21:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.977 | $395.68 |
| 11-01 21:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.21 |
| 11-01 21:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.013 | $5.26 |