PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x896a37A6141E6f0A6D7837Ed3518A457f799E470-1776590870153

0x896a37a6141e6f0a6d7837ed3518a457f799e470

Realised P&L
$-223.73
Volume
$103.1k
Markets traded
520
Open portfolio
$0.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded520
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will MrBeast's next video get between 116 and 119 million views on day 3? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50−$0.50
Will MrBeast's next video get between 110 and 113 million views on day 3? · Yes0.0010.001$0.05−$0.05
Will MrBeast's next video get between 119 and 122 million views on day 3? · Yes0.0400.001$0.01−$0.79
Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top US Netflix show this week? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 80 million views on day 2? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.50
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 30? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.08
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$0.10
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 21? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on April 24? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$0.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 07:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-30 07:11Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?SELL0.156$1.56
09-30 07:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETBUY0.1399999966$1.64
09-30 07:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.3399999773$3.00
09-30 06:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETBUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-30 06:45Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETBUY0.229999987$3.00
09-30 06:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETBUY0.439999956$2.00
09-30 06:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSELL0.99$3.41
09-30 06:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETBUY0.5799999768$2.00
09-30 06:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETBUY0.1299999948$2.00
09-30 06:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSELL0.97$10.20
09-30 06:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETBUY0.1899999962$2.00
09-29 18:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSELL0.98$3.26
09-29 18:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.29999994$1.00
09-29 18:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSELL0.99$2.06