Lllamaxx
0x89651522f6fa39d0a0c32652bc2c7f3278f368c4
- Realised P&L
- $-115.77
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $15.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.430 | $7.41 | +$2.41 |
| Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.080 | $4.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.140 | $3.68 | −$1.32 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Up | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.82at 0.234Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$24.09at 0.181Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$24.07at 0.117Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$20.85at 0.197Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$15.37at 0.631Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 12:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:12 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 12:11 | Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 12:10 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 16:48 | Jaguars vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 16:48 | Packers vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 20:31 | Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 12:30 | Will France be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 12:27 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 22:58 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.0575 | $6.26 |
| 07-11 21:43 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.4374999945 | $20.00 |
| 07-11 00:26 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2374999907 | $15.00 |
| 07-11 00:25 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5799999892 | $15.00 |
| 07-10 20:55 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.9025 | $22.75 |
| 07-09 22:04 | Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? | SELL | 0.25 | $6.94 |