PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PatrickParrish6386

0x89595e1d2e906d238fa8190fdd49215cc16150f8

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$233.0k
Markets traded
241
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded241
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl? · No0.8301.000$603.00+$102.51
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? · No0.7070.950$133.95+$34.33
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · No0.3400.860$132.78+$80.29
Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA? · No0.8631.000$123.00+$16.85
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.8701.000$103.00+$13.39
Will ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8801.000$48.00+$5.76
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? · No0.9500.974$29.22+$0.72
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027? · Yes0.8301.000$27.00+$4.59
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes0.3301.000$19.00+$12.73
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.0900.033$9.97$17.21
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? · Yes0.8151.000$5.00+$0.93
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? · Yes0.2301.000$1.00+$0.77
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3900.013$0.88$24.47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.6300.480$0.48$0.15
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes0.3300.012$0.05$1.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-08 19:55Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?SELL0.19$4.94
02-08 17:44Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.17$0.85
02-08 17:42Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.17$0.44
02-08 17:41Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.17$4.93
02-08 17:40Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.17$11.39
01-21 17:59Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?BUY0.863$106.15
01-11 22:42Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.35$67.55
01-11 20:07Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl?BUY0.83$430.77
01-11 20:06Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.34$87.72
01-11 19:19Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl?BUY0.83$69.72
01-11 18:52Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY0.34$65.62
01-11 16:42Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17?BUY0.74$260.48
01-11 12:39Cerebras IPO before 2027?SELL0.27$213.30
01-11 10:21US bank failure by March 31?SELL0.74$56.24
01-11 10:15Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?SELL0.52$236.60