PatrickParrish6386
0x89595e1d2e906d238fa8190fdd49215cc16150f8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $233.0k
- Markets traded
- 241
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded241
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.73at 0.530Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
- +$95.22at 0.770Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?
- +$74.12at 0.320US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
- +$44.28at 0.420Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$40.04at 0.260Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 19:55 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%? | SELL | 0.19 | $4.94 |
| 02-08 17:44 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 02-08 17:42 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.44 |
| 02-08 17:41 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $4.93 |
| 02-08 17:40 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $11.39 |
| 01-21 17:59 | Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA? | BUY | 0.863 | $106.15 |
| 01-11 22:42 | Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | SELL | 0.35 | $67.55 |
| 01-11 20:07 | Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl? | BUY | 0.83 | $430.77 |
| 01-11 20:06 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $87.72 |
| 01-11 19:19 | Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Super Bowl? | BUY | 0.83 | $69.72 |
| 01-11 18:52 | Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.34 | $65.62 |
| 01-11 16:42 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 17? | BUY | 0.74 | $260.48 |
| 01-11 12:39 | Cerebras IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.27 | $213.30 |
| 01-11 10:21 | US bank failure by March 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $56.24 |
| 01-11 10:15 | Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $236.60 |