PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8953345745AD384fA5CF9FaD13B53FFe79C99B78-1778089865839

0x8953345745ad384fa5cf9fad13b53ffe79c99b78

Realised P&L
$-10.9k
Volume
$619.0k
Markets traded
631
Open portfolio
$560.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded631
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.875$333.99+$1.91
Spain snap election called in 2026? · No0.8400.865$102.31+$2.96
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Chicago Fire FC O/U 0.5 · Over0.9000.630$63.00−$27.00
Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29? · No0.9100.915$59.51+$0.33
Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 3 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC? · No0.9400.949$1.95+$0.02
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? · Yes0.8450.000$0.00−$169.00
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-09-19? · No0.6200.000$0.00−$166.16
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner · Vivo Keyd Stars Academy0.5700.000$0.00−$57.00
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-24? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$1.23
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$13.00
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming0.7660.000$0.00−$1.3k
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? · No0.6250.000$0.00−$84.72
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: Parma Calcio 1913 O/U 1.5 · Under0.8500.000$0.00−$255.00
Valorant: DRX vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2 · FULL SENSE0.3850.000$0.00−$443.87
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00−$78.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 19:28Will Israel win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.88$17.60
09-24 19:27Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.8$80.00
09-23 19:33Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-23?BUY0.9556980628$200.00
09-23 16:47Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.87$25.80
09-22 19:21Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-22?BUY0.85$850.00
09-22 18:22FC Internazionale Milano vs. BK Häcken FF: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.84$78.96
09-22 18:22FC Internazionale Milano vs. BK Häcken FF: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.83$239.04
09-22 18:22FC Internazionale Milano vs. BK Häcken FF: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.82$41.00
09-22 18:22Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-22?BUY0.87$261.00
09-22 06:13Spain snap election called in 2026?BUY0.84$99.36
09-21 19:42CSD Tristan Suarez vs. CA Atlanta: O/U 0.5BUY0.69$69.00
09-20 20:22AC Milan vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5BUY0.5299999994$200.00
09-20 16:15Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.568784$113.76
09-20 15:23Will Olympiacos Piraeus win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.51$102.00
09-20 14:39Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: Parma Calcio 1913 O/U 1.5BUY0.85$255.00