0x894aad5d193867146d715f3f22e53ba2143a20a7
0x894aad5d193867146d715f3f22e53ba2143a20a7
- Realised P&L
- $-0.25
- Volume
- $260.11
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $6.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.835 | $5.21 | +$0.22 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.155 | $0.88 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.86at 0.855New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$0.54at 0.013Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$0.34at 0.925Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
- +$0.12at 0.207Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.11at 0.979Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 09:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.99 |
| 09-12 00:47 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1849999894 | $1.05 |
| 09-04 14:11 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 14:53 | Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9679998482 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 14:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | SELL | 0.993 | $5.07 |
| 08-21 23:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9779998838 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 23:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | SELL | 0.75 | $4.30 |
| 08-13 21:03 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 21:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.75 |
| 08-13 21:01 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.229 | $2.30 |
| 08-13 21:00 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.67 |
| 08-06 15:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 20:00 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.8399999395 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 19:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.46 |
| 07-26 09:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | BUY | 0.9129998448 | $5.00 |