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Traders

maker2026

0x8949b3504749a1e7fa4f5d4433d1252544e097e4

Realised P&L
$-22.36
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
149
Open portfolio
$36.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded149
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 18? · Yes0.1801.000$4.99+$4.09
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 18? · Yes0.2301.000$3.89+$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18? · No0.4001.000$3.22+$1.93
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 18? · Yes0.2700.515$2.57+$1.22
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 18? · No0.6800.645$2.02$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19? · Yes0.2800.365$1.82+$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.2900.325$1.62+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 19? · Yes0.1600.380$1.58+$0.92
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18? · No0.7300.410$1.52$1.19
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 19? · Yes0.2000.475$1.41+$0.82
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 18? · Yes0.3400.660$1.38+$0.67
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 19? · Yes0.1500.255$1.20+$0.49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19? · No0.4300.515$1.03+$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.2200.200$0.93$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 19? · Yes0.2100.400$0.91+$0.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 14:53Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 18?BUY0.3099999954$2.00
09-17 14:53Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18?BUY0.0829493057$2.00
09-17 14:33Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-17 09:19Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 17?SELL0.76$3.80
09-17 09:18Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18?SELL0.73$3.65
09-17 09:18Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 18?SELL0.82$4.10
09-17 02:49Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 18?SELL0.58$3.62
09-17 02:49Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17?SELL0.675$6.75
09-17 02:49Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 18?SELL0.66$10.72
09-17 01:20Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 18?SELL0.56$10.50
09-17 01:20Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 18?SELL0.66$71.76
09-16 14:18Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 18?SELL0.68$20.45
09-16 10:41Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 17?SELL0.5$2.50
09-16 10:41Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 17?SELL0.3$1.50
09-16 10:41Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18?SELL0.59$11.80
Trader maker2026 · PolyBot Pro