maker2026
0x8949b3504749a1e7fa4f5d4433d1252544e097e4
- Realised P&L
- $-22.36
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $36.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.95at 0.410Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17?
- +$1.75at 0.205Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18?
- +$1.60at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 18?
- +$1.30at 0.740Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 17?
- +$1.05at 0.570Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0829493057 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 09:19 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 09-17 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 09-17 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 09-17 02:49 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.58 | $3.62 |
| 09-17 02:49 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.675 | $6.75 |
| 09-17 02:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.66 | $10.72 |
| 09-17 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.56 | $10.50 |
| 09-17 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.66 | $71.76 |
| 09-16 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.68 | $20.45 |
| 09-16 10:41 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 17? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-16 10:41 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 09-16 10:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |