00008888
0x894867c91419fd485cca1f353f32dcf6d9cd28d5
- Realised P&L
- $-18.6k
- Volume
- $825.5k
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.378Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
- +$2.0kat 0.280Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.492Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
- +$637.99at 0.298Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$637.80at 0.153Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 05:08 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $40.36 |
| 08-22 05:08 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $20.30 |
| 08-22 05:08 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $20.50 |
| 08-22 05:05 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.004 | $40.80 |
| 08-22 05:02 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $12.60 |
| 08-17 19:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $12.11 |
| 08-17 19:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $75.97 |
| 08-17 19:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 19:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $46.59 |
| 08-17 19:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $36.00 |
| 08-17 19:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.35 |
| 08-17 07:16 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $62.70 |
| 08-17 07:11 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $41.68 |
| 08-08 03:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.19 | $32.91 |
| 08-08 03:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.18498 | $18.50 |