PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

00008888

0x894867c91419fd485cca1f353f32dcf6d9cd28d5

Realised P&L
$-18.2k
Volume
$815.7k
Markets traded
174
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded174
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1650.055$330.55−$663.73
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.002$212.88−$475.43
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2040.162$161.50−$42.50
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.155$155.00+$55.00
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.002$153.00+$30.30
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0400.017$99.05−$131.32
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1180.011$27.04−$249.48
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2410.021$10.96−$118.19
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.001$5.10−$35.70
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.007$0.15−$1.88
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners · Over0.1700.000$0.00−$34.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$36.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.1190.000$0.00−$179.32
Will Donald Trump's tie be another color? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$70.20
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Argentina O/U 2.5 · Over0.2100.000$0.00−$105.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 03:47Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.037$27.52
08-22 05:08Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$40.36
08-22 05:08Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$20.30
08-22 05:08Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$20.50
08-22 05:05Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.004$40.80
08-22 05:02Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.006$12.60
08-17 19:18Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.021$12.11
08-17 19:17Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.018$75.97
08-17 19:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$5.00
08-17 19:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$46.59
08-17 19:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$36.00
08-17 19:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$9.35
08-17 07:16Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.006$62.70
08-17 07:11Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.002$41.68
08-08 03:17Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.19$32.91