0x8944eD4CdfE92111907e796Bbb9920368537C3FD-1768171057284
0x8944ed4cdfe92111907e796bbb9920368537c3fd
- Realised P&L
- $-23.2k
- Volume
- $128.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.489 | 0.065 | $1.3k | −$8.7k |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.030 | $664.90 | −$2.9k |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.5k |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$850.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$450.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$184.16at 0.964US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-22 04:32 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $198.00 |
| 01-21 22:38 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.4k |
| 01-15 07:11 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $600.00 |
| 01-11 23:48 | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9644762953 | $5.0k |
| 01-11 23:26 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.4893148176 | $10.0k |
| 01-11 23:25 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.0k |