HRANS-Trader
0x8944878cf336a9b01523502fdd7d3ea14aef7b42
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $42.6k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.80at 0.792Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?
- +$76.74at 0.929Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$75.55at 0.627Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
- +$75.00at 0.850Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
- +$68.53at 0.315Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 22-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 22:28 | Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? | SELL | 0.052176 | $6.52 |
| 09-30 14:10 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? | BUY | 0.9397615023 | $200.17 |
| 09-30 14:09 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? | BUY | 0.93 | $54.87 |
| 09-30 13:59 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.818 | $81.80 |
| 09-30 13:57 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? | BUY | 0.93 | $8.37 |
| 09-30 13:57 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? | BUY | 0.95 | $92.15 |
| 09-30 13:56 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.94 |
| 09-30 13:52 | Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? | BUY | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 09-30 13:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 09-28 12:48 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.86 | $23.22 |
| 09-28 12:37 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.58 | $20.30 |
| 09-28 12:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9 | $272.70 |
| 09-28 12:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | SELL | 0.996 | $318.72 |
| 09-27 13:42 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.885 | $61.95 |
| 09-27 13:38 | Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.349900495 | $69.98 |