HRANS-Trader
0x8944878cf336a9b01523502fdd7d3ea14aef7b42
- Realised P&L
- $98.67
- Volume
- $25.3k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.60at 0.780Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?
- +$78.91at 0.610Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
- +$75.00at 0.850Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
- +$70.00at 0.300Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 22-28?
- +$50.71at 0.831Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August? | BUY | 0.91 | $50.05 |
| 08-04 12:54 | Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.267 | $5.34 |
| 08-04 12:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | SELL | 0.84 | $168.00 |
| 08-03 20:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.65 | $14.95 |
| 08-03 20:45 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.66 | $9.90 |
| 08-03 20:44 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? | BUY | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 08-03 13:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.63 | $50.40 |
| 08-03 13:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 08-03 12:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $52.80 |
| 08-01 16:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.949 | $210.68 |
| 08-01 16:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 08-01 16:12 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August? | BUY | 0.91 | $229.32 |
| 08-01 15:52 | Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? | BUY | 0.88 | $9.58 |
| 08-01 15:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.93 | $113.46 |
| 08-01 15:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $21.60 |