PolyBot

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Traders

HRANS-Trader

0x8944878cf336a9b01523502fdd7d3ea14aef7b42

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$42.6k
Markets traded
160
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded160
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · Yes0.8300.775$465.00−$33.00
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? · Yes0.8800.960$439.15+$36.70
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes0.8390.715$317.46−$55.04
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8900.950$285.95+$18.05
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? · No0.9000.945$283.50+$13.50
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? · Yes0.9060.960$179.52+$10.07
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8400.715$145.15−$25.37
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? · Yes0.9340.950$127.30+$2.09
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? · Yes0.8880.996$99.55+$10.75
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? · No0.9000.972$94.24+$6.94
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? · No0.8700.968$89.39+$9.05
Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? · Yes0.7400.735$73.50−$0.50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7600.705$70.50−$5.50
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? · Yes0.6900.890$44.50+$10.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5740.090$34.47−$185.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 22:28Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?SELL0.052176$6.52
09-30 14:10Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?BUY0.9397615023$200.17
09-30 14:09Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?BUY0.93$54.87
09-30 13:59Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.818$81.80
09-30 13:57Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?BUY0.93$8.37
09-30 13:57Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?BUY0.95$92.15
09-30 13:56Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?BUY0.94$94.94
09-30 13:52Will Carol de Toni win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?BUY0.74$74.00
09-30 13:51Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.76$76.00
09-28 12:48Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.86$23.22
09-28 12:37Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.58$20.30
09-28 12:27Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?BUY0.9$272.70
09-28 12:25Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?SELL0.996$318.72
09-27 13:42Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.885$61.95
09-27 13:38Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?SELL0.349900495$69.98