assetliabilitymanagement
0x893f8db72d94701cb3d0be0264168d704831bfe0
- Realised P&L
- $-10.79
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $6.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.69at 0.490MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$77.50at 0.657Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$42.68at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$34.22at 0.689Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$34.08at 0.539Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 12:19 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 19:56 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? | BUY | 0.0833787 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 11:59 | Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series? | BUY | 0.7799999719 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 07:22 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.993 | $229.14 |
| 07-16 05:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5848666551 | $13.00 |
| 07-16 05:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $13.00 |
| 07-16 05:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $13.00 |
| 07-16 05:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999979 | $30.00 |
| 07-16 05:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 05:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 05:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999916 | $13.00 |
| 07-16 04:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 17:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 17:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $30.00 |