PolyBot

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Traders

assetliabilitymanagement

0x893f8db72d94701cb3d0be0264168d704831bfe0

Realised P&L
$-10.79
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$6.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 18? · No0.4700.545$5.80+$0.80
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2000.046$1.16$3.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00$30.00
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.6320.000$0.00$7.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00$13.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.1900.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.1770.000$0.00$116.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Down0.5700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$13.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 13:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 18?BUY0.4699999944$5.00
09-15 12:19Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2$5.00
08-11 19:56Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?BUY0.0833787$20.00
08-04 11:59Will Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series?BUY0.7799999719$20.00
07-20 07:22Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?SELL0.993$229.14
07-16 05:24Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETBUY0.5848666551$13.00
07-16 05:20Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETBUY0.5$13.00
07-16 05:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETBUY0.52$13.00
07-16 05:09Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.5199999979$30.00
07-16 05:08Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETBUY0.1399999787$5.00
07-16 05:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETBUY0.75$5.00
07-16 05:01Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETBUY0.7799999916$13.00
07-16 04:54Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETBUY0.4899999804$5.00
07-15 17:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
07-15 17:05Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETSELL0.52$30.00