0x8938191C07c65330Eb6A3e97e602F4cc583FcE6D-1759212670136
0x8938191c07c65330eb6a3e97e602f4cc583fce6d
- Realised P&L
- $-64.08
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $15.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.140 | $5.25 | −$9.75 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes | 0.434 | 0.160 | $3.68 | −$6.32 |
| GTA VI released by October 31? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.017 | $3.30 | −$6.70 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.028 | $1.54 | −$3.46 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.026 | $1.32 | −$2.67 |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.055 | $0.79 | −$1.21 |
| US government shutdown by October 1? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Ebola case in the US by June 30? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? · Up | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-4.86at 0.069Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?
- +$-14.25at 0.007GTA VI released before June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 23:47 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 06-18 23:47 | GTA VI released by October 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 23:44 | Ebola case in the US by June 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 23:43 | Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.14 |
| 05-17 06:37 | GTA VI released before June 2026? | BUY | 0.006422209 | $8.00 |
| 05-16 21:03 | Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May? | BUY | 0.069333321 | $5.00 |
| 05-16 07:07 | GTA VI released before June 2026? | SELL | 0.0053741874 | $4.89 |
| 05-15 02:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 02:27 | GTA VI released before June 2026? | BUY | 0.0109999989 | $10.00 |
| 05-15 02:26 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.4344048653 | $10.00 |
| 05-15 02:26 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $15.00 |
| 05-07 21:27 | Clavicular sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.1399999426 | $2.00 |
| 05-07 21:23 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0889999842 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 06:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 06:14 | US government shutdown by October 1? | BUY | 0.2199999593 | $4.00 |