PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8938191C07c65330Eb6A3e97e602F4cc583FcE6D-1759212670136

0x8938191c07c65330eb6a3e97e602f4cc583fce6d

Realised P&L
$-64.08
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$15.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4000.140$5.25$9.75
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.4340.160$3.68$6.32
GTA VI released by October 31? · Yes0.0500.017$3.30$6.70
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0890.028$1.54$3.46
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.0800.026$1.32$2.67
Clavicular sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1400.055$0.79$1.21
US government shutdown by October 1? · No0.2200.000$0.00$4.00
Ebola case in the US by June 30? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30? · Up0.5400.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 23:47Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.08$4.00
06-18 23:47GTA VI released by October 31?BUY0.05$10.00
06-03 23:44Ebola case in the US by June 30?BUY0.2$5.00
06-03 23:43Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?SELL0.002$0.14
05-17 06:37GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY0.006422209$8.00
05-16 21:03Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?BUY0.069333321$5.00
05-16 07:07GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL0.0053741874$4.89
05-15 02:30Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
05-15 02:27GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY0.0109999989$10.00
05-15 02:26US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.4344048653$10.00
05-15 02:26US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.4$15.00
05-07 21:27Clavicular sentenced to prison?BUY0.1399999426$2.00
05-07 21:23Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0889999842$5.00
09-30 06:15Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30?BUY0.5399999784$2.00
09-30 06:14US government shutdown by October 1?BUY0.2199999593$4.00