PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x26a

0x89243c2c31fe4cc67c4321134b1b0cb86d14449c

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$72.4k
Markets traded
3,919
Open portfolio
$64.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,919
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 6 to 9 points behind Jon Ossoff? · No0.5900.555$11.10−$0.70
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000? · No0.5080.461$9.21−$0.95
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island Senate election by 30% or more? · No0.6300.475$9.09−$2.97
Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election? · Yes0.5200.370$7.40−$3.00
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher? · Yes0.3200.250$5.00−$1.40
Will Centre Party win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3900.230$4.60−$3.20
Will Vamos win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? · Yes0.2800.200$4.00−$1.60
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-20 House election by 35%-40%? · Yes0.2400.195$3.90−$0.90
Will ARENA win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? · Yes0.3500.170$3.40−$3.60
Will Jackson Chourio win the 2026 World Series MVP? · Yes0.3430.146$2.92−$3.94
Will Kellie Sloane be the next Premier of New South Wales? · Yes0.2900.155$1.80−$1.57
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? · No0.6300.735$0.79+$0.11
Will Nick Martinez win the 2026 World Series MVP? · Yes0.1200.030$0.61−$1.79
Will Dean Spanos be the next US Ambassador to Greece? · Yes0.3500.085$0.59−$1.85
Will Jaren Jackson Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? · Yes0.2110.066$0.22−$0.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 16:22Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026?SELL0.55$2.97
10-18 22:01Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 40%-45%?SELL0.25$5.00
10-18 20:42Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?SELL0.81$8.89
10-18 20:41Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?SELL0.81$7.31
10-18 06:51Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 30%-35%?SELL0.202$4.04
10-18 04:44Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 5%-10%?SELL0.135$1.73
10-18 00:27Will Team USA win the 2027 Ryder Cup?SELL0.66$3.40
10-16 18:11Will Project Hail Mary win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.2$1.00
10-15 20:01Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 0%-5%?SELL0.24$4.80
10-15 19:32Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 3%-6%?SELL0.66$7.26
10-15 11:28Will The Black Ball win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.78$4.53
10-12 13:15Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?SELL0.63$2.00
10-12 11:37Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next?SELL0.56$11.20
10-12 08:14Will United States host the 2028 Copa America?SELL0.53$10.09
10-11 07:31Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31?SELL0.62$12.40