0x26a
0x89243c2c31fe4cc67c4321134b1b0cb86d14449c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $72.4k
- Markets traded
- 3,919
- Open portfolio
- $64.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,919
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.00at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
- +$53.45at 0.538Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
- +$39.38at 0.475Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$33.31at 0.682Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
- +$32.21at 0.511XRP Up or Down - February 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 16:22 | Will Amazon’s market capitalization be between $2.50T and $3.00T at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.97 |
| 10-18 22:01 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VT-AL House election by 40%-45%? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 20:42 | Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races? | SELL | 0.81 | $8.89 |
| 10-18 20:41 | Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races? | SELL | 0.81 | $7.31 |
| 10-18 06:51 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 30%-35%? | SELL | 0.202 | $4.04 |
| 10-18 04:44 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-36 House election by 5%-10%? | SELL | 0.135 | $1.73 |
| 10-18 00:27 | Will Team USA win the 2027 Ryder Cup? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.40 |
| 10-16 18:11 | Will Project Hail Mary win Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 20:01 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 0%-5%? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 10-15 19:32 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NV-02 House election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.66 | $7.26 |
| 10-15 11:28 | Will The Black Ball win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.78 | $4.53 |
| 10-12 13:15 | Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.63 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 11:37 | Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 10-12 08:14 | Will United States host the 2028 Copa America? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.09 |
| 10-11 07:31 | Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by December 31? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |