0x8923e524ba96BB52365AF4FeC989E377c1dA7079-1730652568480
0x8923e524ba96bb52365af4fec989e377c1da7079
- Realised P&L
- $-240.40
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $581.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.217 | $233.99 | +$133.99 |
| Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.081 | $220.11 | −$14.89 |
| Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.065 | $98.89 | −$86.11 |
| Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.076 | $28.78 | +$7.37 |
| Kamala Harris blowout victory? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.83 |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.03 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.00 |
| Kamala Harris wins a solid red state? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$240.10at 0.173Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-54.40at 0.033Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
- +$-80.22at 0.026Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 05:29 | Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.0569142697 | $21.41 |
| 10-07 05:28 | Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $7.60 |
| 10-07 05:24 | Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | SELL | 0.004 | $14.60 |
| 07-23 01:55 | Will Oklahoma Sooners win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.0310204106 | $58.91 |
| 07-23 01:54 | Will Michigan Wolverines win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.0246523763 | $90.00 |
| 07-23 01:53 | Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.092739731 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 01:52 | Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.1215982197 | $185.00 |
| 07-23 01:51 | Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.0859448562 | $235.00 |
| 07-20 00:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $290.47 |
| 06-13 00:36 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.009 | $47.03 |
| 06-13 00:35 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1689999976 | $49.14 |
| 06-12 10:09 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0859999984 | $46.83 |
| 06-12 09:57 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0449999992 | $49.00 |
| 11-03 17:08 | Kamala Harris wins a solid red state? | BUY | 0.2154738287 | $98.94 |
| 11-03 17:06 | Kamala Harris blowout victory? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |