CauCaSaiGon0303
0x891dd95f8ad428e48ebf2d1bbdd1b991eea9dd26
- Realised P&L
- $6.1k
- Volume
- $2.37M
- Markets traded
- 520
- Open portfolio
- $7.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded520
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.733 | 0.745 | $6.4k | +$104.43 |
| Raptors vs. Lakers · Raptors | 0.410 | 0.415 | $748.32 | +$9.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.7kat 0.593Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.8kat 0.320Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$7.1kat 0.227Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$5.3kat 0.582Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$3.1kat 0.209LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:35 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.63 | $372.27 |
| 11-01 01:23 | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $199.45 |
| 10-26 23:51 | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $960.00 |
| 10-23 01:39 | Nuggets vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.74 | $740.00 |
| 10-22 23:13 | Cavaliers vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.44 | $299.20 |
| 10-21 14:20 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.57 | $1.8k |
| 10-21 02:21 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.63 | $9.44 |
| 10-21 02:20 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.63 | $3.1k |
| 09-28 08:24 | LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.57 | $591.32 |
| 09-22 02:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.602406 | $301.20 |
| 09-22 02:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.607 | $61.74 |
| 09-22 02:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.596 | $2.98 |
| 09-22 02:04 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | SELL | 0.19 | $366.42 |
| 09-17 06:27 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | SELL | 0.45 | $30.10 |
| 09-17 06:27 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | SELL | 0.45 | $10.03 |