Luckynotunluck
0x891a3981aca05988196d82f6d3b02a9c8ae2f778
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $202.3k
- Markets traded
- 212
- Open portfolio
- $758.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded212
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.419Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C
- +$1.7kat 0.202Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
- +$1.6kat 0.280Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner
- +$1.5kat 0.615Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner
- +$1.5kat 0.100Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 18:10 | Dota 2: Power Rangers vs CyberHero (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.68 | $63.02 |
| 10-13 16:51 | Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5) | BUY | 0.62 | $160.75 |
| 10-12 14:29 | Counter-Strike: Nordic Partners Gaming vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3 | $138.44 |
| 10-11 14:40 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | BUY | 0.49 | $709.59 |
| 10-11 14:32 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | BUY | 0.34 | $354.67 |
| 10-11 13:17 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $2.2k |
| 10-11 12:01 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | BUY | 0.46 | $370.01 |
| 10-11 10:07 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5 | $1.2k |
| 10-11 09:22 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3 | $76.56 |
| 10-11 09:18 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.3 | $310.37 |
| 10-10 14:56 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.45 | $101.39 |
| 10-09 12:37 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $929.07 |
| 10-09 10:30 | Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.11 | $108.58 |
| 10-08 18:37 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.57 | $1.2k |
| 10-08 13:48 | Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.24 | $18.62 |