PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fredericdfbzdf

0x891463f411dbeacc57c57a773de7db4c615ba8a6

Realised P&L
$207.88
Volume
$18.5k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$74.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Jazz (-1.5) · Grizzlies0.5400.545$74.67+$0.69
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-05? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$14.40
Livesport Prague Open: Mai Hontama vs Lilli Tagger · Mai Hontama0.2920.000$0.00−$5.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 07:11Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.998$854.14
10-19 07:11Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.001$0.87
10-19 07:11Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.999$855.00
10-19 07:11Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.998$865.27
10-19 07:10Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.998$28.81
10-19 07:09Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.998$848.30
10-19 07:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 19?BUY0.999$10.00
10-19 07:09Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.999$422.00
10-19 07:08Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?SELL0.998$220.28
10-19 07:08Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.999$456.00
10-19 07:08Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?SELL0.998$660.84
10-19 07:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 19?BUY0.999$12.00
10-19 07:08Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?BUY0.999$882.00
10-19 03:35Spread: Jazz (-1.5)BUY0.54$73.98
09-21 12:12Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-09-21?BUY0.29$20.88