0x89043820b2cf03aaa305286b65fed6eaed6571cd
- Realised P&L
- $-15.24
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Up | 0.102 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET · Up | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on September 17? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks · Zhejiang Lions | 0.676 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET · Up | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on August 16? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? · No | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.21at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
- +$20.54at 0.434Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
- +$16.88at 0.553Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
- +$10.99at 0.783Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?
- +$4.86at 0.862Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 03:54 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.005357398 | $4.00 |
| 08-17 06:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 06:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999936 | $20.00 |
| 08-17 06:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 08-17 05:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 08-17 05:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 05:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 05:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5079681253 | $50.00 |
| 08-17 05:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 05:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4640508581 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 05:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 05:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999786 | $10.00 |
| 08-16 07:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on August 16? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 11:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 11:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |