Lesliead
0x89031fa2d3d63308af8d08645b80452eeec9eb33
- Realised P&L
- $-22.71
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $5.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 3? · No | 0.998 | 0.994 | $5.98 | −$0.02 |
| Nuggets vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.94at 0.996Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Australian Open?
- +$0.03at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 24?
- +$0.02at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 07:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.00 |
| 09-01 06:39 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $5.48 |
| 07-24 03:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.9959999386 | $8.31 |
| 07-14 08:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.18 |
| 06-24 02:56 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.997999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 05:48 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.22 |
| 04-15 03:32 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.88 |
| 03-21 09:37 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.09 |
| 03-21 09:28 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.995 | $10.85 |
| 03-13 06:23 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $10.87 |
| 01-29 08:51 | Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.991 | $370.00 |
| 01-29 05:56 | Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $370.38 |
| 01-29 05:45 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $17.14 |
| 01-29 05:43 | Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.995 | $348.23 |
| 01-29 01:52 | Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.996 | $348.59 |