PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lesliead

0x89031fa2d3d63308af8d08645b80452eeec9eb33

Realised P&L
$-22.71
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$5.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration91.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 3? · No0.9980.994$5.98−$0.02
Nuggets vs. Bucks · Bucks0.6800.000$0.00−$18.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 07:25Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 3?BUY0.998$6.00
09-01 06:39Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?BUY0.9969999998$5.48
07-24 03:46Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 24?BUY0.9959999386$8.31
07-14 08:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 14?BUY0.999$5.18
06-24 02:56Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?BUY0.997999808$5.00
06-03 05:48Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?BUY0.998$5.22
04-15 03:32Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?BUY0.998$5.88
03-21 09:37Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?BUY0.999$8.09
03-21 09:28Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.995$10.85
03-13 06:23Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9969999998$10.87
01-29 08:51Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.991$370.00
01-29 05:56Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.992$370.38
01-29 05:45Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$17.14
01-29 05:43Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.995$348.23
01-29 01:52Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.996$348.59