0x88f9195445fba658884a8c8d1b0172c6be2bf8c8
- Realised P&L
- $468.41
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $2.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $1.25 | −$3.75 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.009 | $1.25 | −$3.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$482.77at 0.170Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?
- +$23.39at 0.041Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$15.62at 0.072Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$8.51at 0.947Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.96at 0.216Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 14:41 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.829999982 | $6.00 |
| 07-19 21:15 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.247 | $2.99 |
| 07-19 18:11 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4129999696 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 21:26 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1924999761 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 21:26 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5324999752 | $8.00 |
| 07-09 21:39 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | SELL | 0.0025 | $0.04 |
| 07-09 21:24 | Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 07-09 21:03 | Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 21:02 | Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco? | BUY | 0.1749998775 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 20:59 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1149999514 | $2.00 |
| 07-08 06:26 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.949 | $6.49 |
| 07-07 18:26 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.2997446779 | $21.54 |
| 07-07 12:18 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0695681211 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 12:17 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 12:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 2? | BUY | 0.0679999383 | $1.00 |