PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x88f9195445fba658884a8c8d1b0172c6be2bf8c8

Realised P&L
$468.41
Volume
$6.5k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$2.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration89.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$1.25$3.75
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0340.009$1.25$3.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 14:41Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?BUY0.829999982$6.00
07-19 21:15Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.247$2.99
07-19 18:11Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4129999696$5.00
07-11 21:26Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1924999761$5.00
07-11 21:26Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5324999752$8.00
07-09 21:39Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?SELL0.0025$0.04
07-09 21:24Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?SELL0.003$0.02
07-09 21:03Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?BUY0.239999856$1.00
07-09 21:02Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?BUY0.1749998775$1.00
07-09 20:59Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.1149999514$2.00
07-08 06:26Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.949$6.49
07-07 18:26Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.2997446779$21.54
07-07 12:18Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0695681211$5.00
07-07 12:17Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7299999679$5.00
07-01 12:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 2?BUY0.0679999383$1.00