PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

spica258

0x88f21dd6a92650ee8abe1287bfe4d0655de2acce

Realised P&L
$-4.9k
Volume
$255.0k
Markets traded
186
Open portfolio
$4.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded186
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1? · No0.9820.992$776.67+$7.44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 1? · Yes0.9960.999$771.51+$2.23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1? · Yes0.9920.995$770.89+$1.66
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 1? · No0.9980.999$769.62+$0.39
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 1? · No0.9930.993$769.01−$0.22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 1? · No0.9970.999$457.09+$0.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 16:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 1?BUY0.982$769.23
09-30 16:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 1?BUY0.997$456.40
09-30 16:07Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1?BUY0.992361414$769.23
09-30 16:06Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 1?BUY0.998$769.23
09-30 16:06Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 1?BUY0.9927794821$769.23
09-30 16:05Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 1?BUY0.9956149653$769.28
09-29 17:34Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 30?SELL0.991$383.82
09-29 17:33Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 30?BUY0.9929999981$384.60
09-29 12:25Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 29?SELL0.9472098909$375.79
09-28 16:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 29?BUY0.9881477269$384.86
09-28 16:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29?BUY0.9954859611$384.86
09-28 16:20Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 29?BUY0.9921646801$384.86
09-28 16:19Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 29?BUY0.97$384.83
09-28 02:29Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 28?BUY0.9881592468$1.8k
09-28 02:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28?BUY0.9952672071$1.8k