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Traders

NicholasWilkins3556

0x88f19eaccdcf349be03af16eb6e058d7648b8e46

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$146.7k
Markets traded
160
Open portfolio
$478.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded160
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.7400.867$243.63+$35.69
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · No0.4300.850$201.45+$99.54
Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1600.045$26.28$67.16
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.5300.048$3.42$34.74
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8000.067$2.79$30.81
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? · Yes0.1900.125$0.68$0.35
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7000.005$0.02$2.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-11 17:11Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?SELL0.17$4.93
04-11 08:43Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?SELL0.79$314.42
04-11 06:02Anduril IPO before 2027?SELL0.08$20.00
04-11 06:00Anduril IPO before 2027?SELL0.09$9.54
04-09 22:04Anduril IPO before 2027?SELL0.18$3.60
04-07 15:53Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.74$502.46
03-31 08:20Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?SELL0.24$14.40
03-30 16:51Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?SELL0.73$5.84
03-30 13:51Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?SELL0.24$270.72
03-29 21:17Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by April 30?BUY0.26$308.88
03-29 17:15Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?BUY0.43$98.90
03-26 13:28MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?SELL0.58$40.60
03-26 13:27MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?SELL0.58$64.96
03-26 09:27MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?SELL0.59$558.14
03-26 08:19Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week?SELL0.54$41.04
Trader NicholasWilkins3556 · PolyBot Pro