PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x88ec2648c195f727288472b6ed3201ccd6247ef0

Realised P&L
$-372.00
Volume
$187.0k
Markets traded
1,246
Open portfolio
$156.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,246
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Astralis Make a Roster Change before September? · No0.6080.805$24.22+$5.93
Will anyone say "War" 8+ times during House of the Dragon E7 S3? · No0.7121.000$18.73+$5.39
Will Anatoly Yakovenko appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · Yes0.0700.499$14.41+$12.39
Will Michael Saylor appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · Yes0.0700.495$14.30+$12.28
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? · No0.3000.674$10.93+$6.07
Will Sui reach $2.00 before 2027? · Yes0.0900.415$9.13+$7.15
Will anyone say "Council" during House of the Dragon E7 S3? · No0.9701.000$8.45+$0.25
Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0020.007$6.86+$4.90
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? · Yes0.6450.625$5.58$0.18
Will anyone say "Surrender" during House of the Dragon E7 S3? · Yes0.9301.000$4.43+$0.31
Haiti elections delayed again? · Yes0.7500.957$4.26+$0.92
Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0020.004$4.21+$2.34
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.3300.815$3.90+$2.32
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.9010.410$3.82$4.58
Will Nicolae Ciucă be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0020.002$3.01$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 05:25Iran full airspace closure by August 31?SELL0.22$1.18
08-01 20:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.8999999162$5.37
08-01 13:58Will anyone say "Surrender" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?BUY0.93$4.12
08-01 13:02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.3599999227$1.49
08-01 01:04US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.909999978$1.24
08-01 00:55US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.8999998492$1.79
07-31 23:01Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.3299998274$1.09
07-31 22:04Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.3699999089$1.99
07-31 21:58Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.24$2.01
07-31 14:47Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31?SELL0.82$15.32
07-31 12:57Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.39$1.99
07-31 12:57Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.24$1.09
07-31 10:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.2399998679$1.09
07-31 10:05Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.1299999022$1.09
07-31 10:04Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.3899998883$1.99