0x88ec2648c195f727288472b6ed3201ccd6247ef0
- Realised P&L
- $-372.00
- Volume
- $187.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,246
- Open portfolio
- $156.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,246
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.39at 0.170Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)
- +$43.41at 0.405Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
- +$35.89at 0.372Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$35.44at 0.293Will Torino FC win on 2026-05-08?
- +$27.87at 0.082Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 05:25 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.18 |
| 08-01 20:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.8999999162 | $5.37 |
| 08-01 13:58 | Will anyone say "Surrender" during House of the Dragon E7 S3? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.12 |
| 08-01 13:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.3599999227 | $1.49 |
| 08-01 01:04 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.909999978 | $1.24 |
| 08-01 00:55 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.8999998492 | $1.79 |
| 07-31 23:01 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.3299998274 | $1.09 |
| 07-31 22:04 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.3699999089 | $1.99 |
| 07-31 21:58 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.01 |
| 07-31 14:47 | Situational Awareness Anthropic sale confirmed by August 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $15.32 |
| 07-31 12:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.99 |
| 07-31 12:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.09 |
| 07-31 10:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.2399998679 | $1.09 |
| 07-31 10:05 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.1299999022 | $1.09 |
| 07-31 10:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.3899998883 | $1.99 |