0x88e9bdaabb76f47773ac41066ea603f2439e6fbd
0x88e9bdaabb76f47773ac41066ea603f2439e6fbd
- Realised P&L
- $6.13
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 224
- Open portfolio
- $6.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded224
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.455 | $3.75 | −$0.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 3? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.305 | $2.29 | −$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 16? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 21? · No | 0.693 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.476 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 15? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 15? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.97at 0.336Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on August 19?
- +$7.32at 0.548Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?
- +$7.04at 0.334Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 18?
- +$5.50at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 9?
- +$5.47at 0.434Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 17:03 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.40 |
| 10-02 17:02 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.4699999745 | $3.87 |
| 09-29 15:29 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.3499999134 | $1.01 |
| 09-15 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.6699999687 | $1.07 |
| 09-13 19:36 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.4299999615 | $2.12 |
| 09-13 11:14 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6599999096 | $1.46 |
| 09-13 11:13 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6599999096 | $1.46 |
| 09-11 19:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 11? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.46 |
| 09-11 19:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.4099999847 | $2.41 |
| 09-11 19:42 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.659999991 | $2.93 |
| 09-10 17:03 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 09-09 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.26 |
| 09-08 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 18:32 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.4219172347 | $2.61 |
| 09-06 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.3699999287 | $2.70 |