Impoorguy
0x88e79da2db8aeef3b697eddb6daffeee31cdec7c
- Realised P&L
- $97.64
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $58.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes | 0.481 | 0.520 | $32.42 | +$2.42 |
| Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday? · Yes | 0.667 | 0.795 | $11.91 | +$1.91 |
| Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.470 | $9.23 | −$1.77 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.071 | $4.99 | −$3.01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Up | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 30? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET · Up | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.53at 0.056Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
- +$39.76at 0.205Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$23.73at 0.566Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
- +$22.85at 0.233Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$20.91at 0.331Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 21:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 21:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 21:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | SELL | 0.8 | $11.08 |
| 08-19 21:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 21:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999696 | $5.00 |
| 08-19 21:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |
| 08-19 20:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999965 | $25.00 |
| 08-19 20:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999928 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 19:51 | Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.5599999963 | $6.00 |
| 08-03 19:48 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 19:47 | Will Steve Rogers die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 19:46 | Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.6675833478 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 19:37 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.4812571586 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 14:53 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |