PolyBot

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Traders

NovayaZemlya

0x88e54e1bdf0cd74a978d2840b67ee1cea03a3ee5

Realised P&L
$82.54
Volume
$38.4k
Markets traded
128
Open portfolio
$58.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded128
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.015$42.40+$3.81
Will Bodø/Glimt win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0030.003$8.38$2.92
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0010.002$7.50+$2.50
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11? · Yes0.4530.000$0.00$22.00
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5 · Over0.6100.000$0.00$5.00
Will T1 win the EWC League of Legends Tournament · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$5.00
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs · T10.7660.000$0.00$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.1020.000$0.00$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00$2.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Up0.1300.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-04? · Yes0.2870.000$0.00$26.50
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group · T10.4850.000$0.00$19.40
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs · Anyone's Legend0.0980.000$0.00$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 11:42LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsSELL0.96$4.80
09-06 10:26LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsBUY0.39$1.95
09-06 10:25LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsSELL0.43$8.60
09-04 18:55Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.011$2.20
09-01 17:31Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.012$2.40
09-01 17:29Will Bodø/Glimt win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.003$3.30
08-30 19:24Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0119999976$5.00
08-30 19:19Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.001$5.00
08-30 19:14Will Bodø/Glimt win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.004$5.00
08-29 22:45Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0119999976$5.00
08-29 22:45Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0119999976$5.00
08-11 18:41FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Team to AdvanceSELL0.999$13.20
08-11 18:11FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7399999457$3.00
08-11 18:08FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7699998691$5.00
08-11 18:02FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Team to AdvanceBUY0.75$2.00