PolyBot

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Traders

ceo1314

0x88e3b7987e7dac2a50ad503f66768e743f0eefe6

Realised P&L
$-360.82
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$12.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.155$6.65−$3.65
Macron out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.037$5.84−$0.16
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$21.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3350.000$0.00−$14.00
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over0.7500.000$0.00−$44.00
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$1.00
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5 · Over0.7900.000$0.00−$39.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1570.000$0.00−$12.70
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3790.000$0.00−$129.37
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3840.000$0.00−$10.00
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$8.95
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$48.88
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? · No0.0970.000$0.00−$6.66
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 18:08France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999981$10.30
10-18 18:08Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.038$6.00
07-19 21:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.411999999$119.37
07-19 21:38Spread: Spain (-1.5)SELL0.9975$123.14
07-18 23:48Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5BUY0.4149999972$80.59
07-18 06:07Spread: Spain (-1.5)BUY0.8099999993$100.00
07-15 16:04England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5BUY0.6749999949$29.80
07-13 17:54Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3624999887$10.00
07-13 17:54Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.2974999685$6.00
07-13 17:46Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?BUY0.0289999724$1.00
07-13 17:46Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?BUY0.045999957$1.00
07-13 17:45Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-13 17:45Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.01$1.00
07-13 17:40France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5BUY0.789999997$39.00
07-13 17:39England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5BUY0.7299999966$37.00