pakukudolphi
0x88e2b1b6c7847828fc91af43aba2fee07fb07489
- Realised P&L
- $133.3k
- Volume
- $7.22M
- Markets traded
- 236
- Open portfolio
- $231.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded236
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.0kat 0.500Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$50.1kat 0.351Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$21.2kat 0.502US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$20.5kat 0.212US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$14.6kat 0.170US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 11:23 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $5.24 |
| 09-17 10:58 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 07:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $38.8k |
| 09-17 01:22 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.1k |
| 09-16 10:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8765542142 | $20.0k |
| 09-15 14:59 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.9k |
| 09-14 15:04 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.464 | $341.14 |
| 09-14 09:46 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | SELL | 0.0276203705 | $138.33 |
| 09-12 10:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.123777922 | $120.13 |
| 09-11 08:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.0k |
| 09-09 23:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | SELL | 0.4551498057 | $559.95 |
| 09-09 21:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.5882728041 | $723.73 |
| 09-03 19:44 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.8k |
| 09-03 10:30 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $150.00 |
| 09-01 16:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.81 | $159.53 |