Restor999
0x88e0ad7c797a16d6916e5461ff6d30b17b63ceee
- Realised P&L
- $-782.04
- Volume
- $30.1k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $255.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.15at 0.557Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 19?
- +$48.55at 0.577Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 2?
- +$40.40at 0.550Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 16?
- +$27.83at 0.778Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 16?
- +$26.63at 0.762Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:31 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.64 | $19.20 |
| 08-04 10:22 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 08-04 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.69 | $20.70 |
| 08-04 09:44 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 6? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 09:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.93 |
| 08-04 09:16 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 08-04 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0278425027 | $0.77 |
| 08-04 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 08-04 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.0020492353 | $0.70 |
| 08-04 03:39 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.0032 | $0.80 |
| 08-04 03:39 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.0049 | $0.98 |
| 08-04 03:30 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.69 |
| 08-04 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.44 |