thomaswade-280
0x88e0483281ef44bd7a200d05b67b80cba6fbb1ed
- Realised P&L
- $-1.10
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $20.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage · Natus Vincere | 0.790 | 0.785 | $20.76 | −$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.60at 0.408Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
- +$10.74at 0.683Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?
- +$0.72at 0.670Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
- +$0.39at 0.990Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
- +$0.12at 0.997Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:08 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.62 |
| 01-31 14:01 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999851 | $17.72 |
| 01-30 15:49 | Will Opendoor reach $11.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.54 |
| 01-30 15:38 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.997999987 | $24.87 |
| 01-30 14:22 | Will Opendoor reach $8.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.52 |
| 01-30 12:53 | Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9899999868 | $38.12 |
| 12-30 15:02 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9939999171 | $8.54 |
| 12-30 08:06 | Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.98 |
| 12-29 21:15 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999538 | $11.10 |
| 12-29 20:02 | US national XRP reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.998999969 | $19.38 |
| 12-29 19:53 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999722 | $35.34 |
| 12-29 18:11 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999973 | $35.87 |
| 10-30 20:12 | Will XRP reach $3.30 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.13 |
| 10-30 18:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.83 |
| 10-08 05:45 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $10.79 |