danielocontento
0x88dd75b82a726c10ba4f6114afc53db82daff6be
- Realised P&L
- $69.45
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $274.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.635 | $95.25 | +$3.75 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.048 | $95.00 | −$21.00 |
| Blue tsunami in 2026? · No | 0.470 | 0.320 | $84.48 | −$39.60 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.404 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Up | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up | 0.970 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.27at 0.841Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
- +$30.18at 0.570Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?
- +$29.33at 0.873Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$23.04at 0.908Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$20.67at 0.651Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 01:34 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? | BUY | 0.61 | $91.50 |
| 10-02 15:56 | Blue tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $124.08 |
| 09-25 21:29 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.058 | $116.00 |
| 07-21 20:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9385921118 | $200.00 |
| 07-21 20:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 20:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 19:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 19:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9106891139 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 18:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999957 | $25.00 |
| 07-21 18:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 18:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $1.25 |
| 07-21 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 17:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $5.00 |