0x88dD363AF9A7033E8EF7271B561EDB43C7D1c02D-1769700610872
0x88dd363af9a7033e8ef7271b561edb43c7d1c02d
- Realised P&L
- $225.43
- Volume
- $18.6k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $226.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$186.81at 0.469Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
- +$75.75at 0.398Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
- +$38.52at 0.530Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$22.10at 0.175Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$18.66at 0.623Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 11:35 | Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 16:39 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0569999983 | $30.00 |
| 08-17 16:36 | Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.73 |
| 08-14 17:47 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 17:45 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $40.58 |
| 08-03 19:22 | Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 10:41 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0549999902 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 10:37 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 10:20 | Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 10:20 | Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 10:20 | Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 10:20 | Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? | BUY | 0.1289134336 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 10:07 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0793414658 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 10:03 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 07-30 09:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.4498044175 | $15.00 |