PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x88dd363af9a7033e8ef7271b561edb43c7d1c02d

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$251.82

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4700.875$55.85+$25.85
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes0.0660.042$37.99−$22.01
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8300.905$32.71+$2.71
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6300.775$30.42+$5.69
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.5890.530$26.99−$3.01
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8700.585$20.17−$9.83
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6500.755$10.45+$1.45
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.3400.335$9.85−$0.15
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? · No0.1290.105$8.14−$1.85
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? · No0.1300.090$6.92−$3.08
No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.3270.127$5.80−$9.20
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? · No0.2700.115$4.26−$5.74
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? · No0.2000.045$2.25−$7.75
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 3? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00−$3.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 15:27Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6499999928$9.00
10-20 14:07No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.3269999974$15.00
09-25 05:342026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.629999988$24.73
09-25 05:33Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.6699999987$30.00
09-25 05:31Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?BUY0.7899999968$20.00
08-23 11:35Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
08-17 16:39Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?BUY0.0569999983$30.00
08-17 16:36Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?SELL0.999$30.73
08-14 17:47Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
08-14 17:45Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.92$40.58
08-03 19:22Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary?BUY0.6499999935$20.00
08-02 10:41Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0549999902$5.00
08-02 10:37Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.4299999931$10.00
08-02 10:20Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
08-02 10:20Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?BUY0.2$10.00