0x88dd363af9a7033e8ef7271b561edb43c7d1c02d
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $251.82
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.97at 0.659Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
- +$75.75at 0.398Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
- +$38.52at 0.530Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$22.10at 0.175Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.94at 0.462Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 15:27 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999928 | $9.00 |
| 10-20 14:07 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.3269999974 | $15.00 |
| 09-25 05:34 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.629999988 | $24.73 |
| 09-25 05:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.6699999987 | $30.00 |
| 09-25 05:31 | Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 08-23 11:35 | Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 16:39 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0569999983 | $30.00 |
| 08-17 16:36 | Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.73 |
| 08-14 17:47 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 08-14 17:45 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $40.58 |
| 08-03 19:22 | Will Botond Fülöp be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 10:41 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0549999902 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 10:37 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 10:20 | Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 10:20 | Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |